Geno Smith is one of only three undefeated quarterbacks still standing, and the Seahawks already have a multiple-game lead in the NFC West, and yes, some of that is due to playing three 1-2 teams. But he has three great receivers going up against a young secondary in this game, and talented RB Kenneth Walker III is back this week.

The Lions, meanwhile, are off to a somewhat slow 2-1 start, and we’re actually wondering what a very sleepy Jared Goff can do against a young and aggressive Seahawks defense. Mike Macdonald has it ranked first in defensive EPA per play (0.25) and defensive EPA per pass play (0.30). Tonight will be a good night to learn who safety Julian Love and edge rusher Boye Mafe are, although rookie defensive tackle Byron Murphy II will be out with a hamstring injury. That makes it hard to predict an upset, but it smells like a field goal margin game to us anyway.

The pick: Seahawks