Two teams will go on the hunt for their first Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season, concluding Monday night with a pair of Monday Night Football games. Josh Allen and the 2-0 Buffalo Bills host Trevor Lawrence’s 0-2 Jacksonville Jaguars (7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN). Later, Jayden Daniels is evened out and the Washington Commanders hit the road to take on Joe Burrow and the 0-2 Cincinnati Bengals (8:15 p.m. ET on ABC and ESPN+).

The home teams are the favorites, while the 46.5-point total in each game bodes well for offense. Below, fantasy and betting analyst Eric Moody picks his favorite bets on the Bills-Jaguars game, plus betting trends from ESPN Research.

Odds are current at time of publication. For the most recent odds, visit ESPN BET

Game lines

Distribution: Accounts (-5.5)
Moneyline: Accounts (-250). Jaguars (+210)
Over/Under: 45.5

Spread first half: Accounts -3.5 (-105)/Jaguars +3.5 (-125)
Total points of Bills: O/U 25.5 points (-125/-105)
Jaguars Total Pointsts: O/U 19.5 points (-120/-110)

The props

Passing

Trevor Lawrence total passing yards: O/U: 224.5 yards (Even/-130)
Lawrence Total Passing TDs: O/U: 1.5 TDs (+140/-180)
Josh Allen total passing yards: O/U: 224.5 yards (-125/+105)
Allen’s total passing touchdowns: O/U: 1.5 TDs (+115/-145)

to hurry

James Cook total rushing yards: O/U 69.5 (+110/-140)
Travis Etienne Jr. total rushing yards: Over/U 49.5 (-120/-110)
Josh Allen total rushing yards: O/U 29.5 (-115/-115)
Trevor Lawrence total rushing yards: O/U 14.5 (-125/-105)

Received

Gabe Davis Total Receiving Yards: Over/U 39.5 (-115/-115)
Khalil Shakir total receiving yards: O/U 44.5 (-120/-110)
Christian Kirk Total Receiving Yards: O/U 44.5 (-115/-115)
Dalton Kincaid Total Receiving Yards: O/U 39.5 (-110/-120)
Brian Thomas Jr. Total Receiving Yards: O/U 44.5 (-120/-110)
Keon Coleman total receiving yards: O/U 34.5 (-130/Even)
Brenton Strange Total Receiving Yards: O/U 29.5 (+105/-135)
Travis Etienne Jr. Total Receiving Yards: O/U 24.5 (+105/-135)
James Cook Total Receiving Yards: O/U 19.5 (-110/-120)

Distribution: Bengal (-7)
Moneyline: Bengals (-350), Commanders (+280)
Over/Under: 46.5

Spread first half: Bengals -4.5 (tie)/Commanders +3.5 (-135)
Total number of commanders points: O/U 19.5 points (-110/-120)
Bengals Total Points: O/U 27.5 points (Even/-130)

Passing

Total passing yards by Joe Burrow: Over/Out: 274.5 (+110/-140)
Burrow Total Passing TDs: O/U: 1.5 TDs (-145/+115)
Total passing yards by Jayden Daniels: Over/Out: 199.5 (-105/-125)

to hurry

Brian Robinson Jr. total rushing yards: O/U 59.5 (Even/-130)
Total rushing yards for Zack Moss: O/U 49.5 (-145/+115)
Jayden Daniels total rushing yards: O/U 49.5 (-120/-110)
Austin Ekeler total rushing yards: O/U 24.5 (-110/-120)
Chase Brown total rushing yards: O/U 24.5 (-105/-125)

Received

Ja’Marr Chase Total Receiving Yards: O/U 39.5 (-135/+105)
Terry McLaurin total receiving yards: O/U 49.5 (-110/-120)
Tee Higgins Total Receiving Yards: O/U 44.5 (-125/-105)
Mike Gesicki total receiving yards: O/U 29.5 (Even/-130)
Total receiving yards by Zach Ertz: O/U 44.5 (-130/Even)
Total receiving yards by Andrei Iosivas: O/U 34.5 (-135/+105)
Austin Ekeler total receiving yards: O/U 19.5 (-110/-120)
Trenton Irwin Total Receiving Yards: O/U 9.5 (+105/-135)

Eric Moody’s Choices

Accounts -5.0The Bills are 2-0 straight to start the season, while the Jaguars are 2-6 against the spread since last year. Trevor Lawrence has lost seven straight games, and Jacksonville’s offensive struggles have been a big part of their 0-2 start, which puts them near the bottom of the league in total yards and points per game. The Jaguars’ defense hasn’t been much better. Meanwhile, the Bills are clicking on both sides of the ball, with only the Cardinals and Saints scoring more points per game heading into Week 3. Buffalo is home on extra rest (they last played 11 days ago) and is 5-1 straight in their last six home games. That’s a great place for the Bills to cover.

Keon Coleman over 34.5 receiving yards. Coleman had just one target and zero yards against the Dolphins in Week 2, but there’s plenty of reason for optimism Monday night. He led all Bills receivers in snaps and routes in Week 2, even though Josh Allen threw just 19 passes in a blowout win over the Dolphins. Buffalo faces a Jaguars secondary that has allowed the third-most passing yards (524) in the league and has struggled against outside receivers. With Allen playing well, Coleman is in prime position to make that happen.

Christian Kirk over 39.5 receiving yards. While Kirk has just seven targets and 29 receiving yards through two games, he should be more involved Monday night against the Bills. With Evan Engram and Bills slot corner Taron Johnson sidelined, Kirk should get plenty of targets. He has averaged 76.4 receiving yards in his three years in Jacksonville when he has seen six or more targets. Expect Kirk to get back on track this week.

Brian Thomas Jr. over 39.5 receiving yardsThomas may be third in snaps and routes for the Jaguars, behind Gabe Davis and Kirk, but he’s making the most of his opportunities. Thomas leads the team with 3.2 yards of separation on targets, and his athleticism was on full display last week against the Browns. He had two of the Jaguars’ longest catches, a 66-yard catch late in the third quarter and a 28-yard reception late in the fourth. It’s that explosiveness that makes him a solid bet to reach the 39.5-yard mark on Monday night, even if he falls short of the four targets he’s received in each of the Jaguars’ first two games.

Betting trends

Thanks to ESPN Research

Jaguars vs Bills

• The Jaguars are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as visiting underdogs. They are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games.

• The Jaguars are 13-21-1 ATS in primetime games since 2000.

• The Bills have been 2-6 ATS in prime time over the past two seasons.

• The Bills are 2-6 ATS when scoring at least four points at home over the last two seasons (1-6 ATS in the last seven games), excluding the playoffs.

• The primetime unders are 161-111-4 since 2019 (.592).

Commanders vs Bengalis

• Joe Burrow is 2-7 ATS when favored by at least 7 points, including the playoffs (5-4 outright), including a Week 1 home loss to the Patriots as a 7.5 point favorite.

• Since 2008, the Commanders are 13-30-2 ATS in primetime games (5-15 ATS on Monday Night Football in the span).

• Joe Burrow is 15-6 ATS in his career after a loss (1-0 ATS this season).

• Joe Burrow is 4-0 outright and 3-1 ATS on Monday Night Football. All four games have gone under the total.

• The Commanders are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs (0-3 ATS last three, 0-1 ATS this season).

• Underdogs of at least six points are 8-0 ATS this season. Underdogs of at least seven points are 3-0 outright.

• The primetime unders are 161-111-4 since 2019 (.592).