The Las Vegas Aces (19-12) and Phoenix Mercury (16-16) meet Sunday at Footprint Center in Phoenix. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:00 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Aces vs. Mercury Oddsand make our expert WNBA predictions.

Season Series: Aces Lead 2-1

The Aces rebounded from a 93-90 loss in Dallas to beat the visiting Atlanta Dream 83-72 on Friday as a 10.5-point favorite. The cover snapped an 0-9 against the spread (ATS) skid. The under (164.5) cashed Friday and the total has fallen to an 8-3 run in the past 11 outings.

The Mercury have lost two games in a row and are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games, while the Under are 3-1-1 in their previous five games.

Phoenix suffered a 103-99 loss at home on June 13 in the most recent meeting, but the Mercury held on for a cover as a 6-point underdog as the Over (170.5) connected easily. Phoenix is ​​3-0 ATS in the three meetings with Las Vegas this season.

Aces with Mercury Odds

Powered by FanDuel Sportsbook; visit USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for full listings. Lines last updated at 9:41am ET.

• Money Line (ML): Aces -205 (bet $205 to win $100) | Mercury +164 (bet $100 to win $164)
• Against the spread: Aces -4.5 (-106) | Mercury +4.5 (-114)
• Over/Under (O/U): 169 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Aces in Mercury Picks and Predictions

Prediction

Mercury 85, Aces 81

Moneyline

To play PHOENIX (+164) as a moderate underdog is a strong move. The Mercury have been tough on the Aces (-205) all season. Given the way Vegas has been playing lately, you can’t count on them to bet more than 2x your potential return.

Against the spread

If you’re a little less adventurous, play PHOENIX +4.5 (-114) take the points. It gives you some legroom in the event of a Las Vegas -4.5 (-106) win by 4 or less points.

After all, the Aces are still just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games, despite Friday’s cover against Atlanta. And Las Vegas is 0-3 ATS in 3 tries against Phoenix this season.

Over/Under

UNDER 169 (-110) is the lean, but choose a half-unit game here.

The Under is 3-1 in the last 4 games for the Aces, while they went 8-3 in the previous 11 games.

For the Mercury, the Under has a 3-1-1 record in their last 5 games, while they have a 5-2 record in their last 7 games at Footprint Center.

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