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Instant fantasy football pickups from Chiefs-Ravens Thursday Night Football
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Instant fantasy football pickups from Chiefs-Ravens Thursday Night Football

Isaiah Probably shines in a larger role: Was probably not involved in the Baltimore Ravens attack last season when Mark Andrews was healthy, but that was not the case in this match.

• Kansas City Chiefs’ young wide receivers lead them to victory: Rashee Rice And Xavier Worthy were the Chiefs’ key playmakers with Rice’s 100 yards and Worthy’s two touchdowns, which could be a harbinger of things to come.

• Discover your advantage with a PFF+ subscription: Get full access to all of our fantasy tools in the season, including weekly rankings, WR/CB Matchup Charts, weekly projectionsthe Start-Sit-optimizer and more. Sign up now!

Estimated reading time: 5 minutes

PFF’s fantasy football summary focuses on player usage and stats, and contains all the essential information you need to succeed in fantasy in 2024.


Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs

  • Isaiah Probably: 9 receptions, 111 yards, 1 touchdown
  • Xavier Worthy: 2 receptions, 47 yards, 1 touchdown, one carry, 21 rushing yards, 1 rushing touchdown

Isaac Pacheco remains strongly involved: Pacheco left the field on only a few third downs, despite Together Perinepresence of.

Pacheco seemed on his way to a good season after leaving the team Jerick McKinnonbut fantasy managers were concerned after the team added Perine to the backfield. This game was more good news than bad news for Pacheco, but it’s too early for Pacheco managers to cheer.

The good news is that Pacheco played a large portion of the normal early-down situations. He played 75 percent of those snaps last year when McKinnon was fit and 83.3 percent when he wasn’t. His percentage in those situations was even higher this game, as he played all of those snaps in the first half and lost two snaps early in the third quarter when he was reportedly surrendered before missing another three later. Perine played most of the third downs as expected, but that’s no big problem for its fantasy value.

The big questions are about the goal line and the snaps during the two-minute drill. Pacheco played just 37 percent of the snaps last season when the Chiefs were within five yards of scoring when McKinnon was fit, but that jumped to 68.4 percent when McKinnon wasn’t. The Chiefs ran just one play within five yards, and Pacheco was on the field and scored a touchdown. That’s the best that could have happened to him on that one play, but it’s still just a sample of one play. He needs to keep most of those snaps to keep scoring touchdowns.

He played 23.5% of the two-minute drill snaps with McKinnon last season and 66.7% without. Pacheco played the one passing snap in two minutes to end the first half. This is the situation in which Pacheco is most at risk of losing snaps that matter to his fantasy value, and it’s also the situation in which you least want someone on the field if he’s only been on the team for a week. We may not know who plays the majority of those snaps for another month. This is the one situation we need to keep an eye on for Pacheco going forward. Until then, we can remain cautiously optimistic about his fantasy value.

Chiefs employ a largely predictable wide receiver rotation: Kansas City’s commitment to the starters in pre-season is a strong indication of their commitment at the start of the regular season.

Rashee Rice was unsurprisingly the Chiefs’ top wide receiver, hovering around 80% of Kansas City’s offensive snaps, which is similar to his usage late last season. He was the Chiefs’ clear target leader, and he’s someone we likely won’t mention much in these articles anymore because he’s now a clear top wide receiver.

Xavier Worthy was the second wide receiver in the pecking order, which included an early touchdown run but not many targets. He was also the clear second player in the preseason, playing 19 of 24 snaps with the starters and not many with the backups. Justin Watson was the third recipient. The only question is what will happen if Hollywood Brown is healthy, which could happen as early as next week. It’s possible that Brown will just replace Watson’s snaps, but since Brown, Worthy and Watson are all deep threats, we could see a healthy rotation between the three receivers.

The key is that the other reserve wide receivers didn’t play many snaps. Hardman student did not play in attack and Skyy Moore played much less than last season. It is possible JuJu Smith-Schuster will mix in a bit more as time goes on, but chances are he’ll just be a backup to Rice. It’s still possible that Rice, Worthy and Brown all have fantasy value this season.

Isaiah Probably plays a major role: Andrews was probably much more involved in this game than last season when he was still fit.

Last season, Andrews played 75% of Baltimore’s offensive snaps when fit, and Likely played just 7-35% of those games. When Andrews was injured, Likely took over completely, playing a median of 74% of the snaps.

The Ravens went with 12 personnel as their starting offense, even during two-minute drills, allowing Andrews and Likely to be on the field at the same time. Before the final drive, they played 32 snaps with 12 personnel combined, the most snaps they played together in a game. Last season, they maxed out at 16 in a game.

In 11 personnel, Andrews played 11 snaps to Liekly’s nine. In the first half, Andrews played seven of eight and in the second, Likely played eight of 13. The fact that Likely cut into Andrews’ time in 11 personnel should be a concern for Andrews’ fantasy managers. From Weeks 2-10 last season, Andrews played in over 90% of Baltimore’s 11 personnel snaps. Likely played with Charlie Kolar in 22 personnel, while Andrews was the primary tight end in 21 personnel.

It will be difficult for Likely to maintain this fantasy value, since there were so many pass plays where he wasn’t on the field, and the Ravens likely won’t pass that much in most games. Still, it’s possible he could see more playing time, and he also has more upside than about half of the other starting tight ends in the NFL. While I’d hesitate to put Likely in my fantasy starting lineup next week, he could very well be better than anyone else you have on your roster as a backup.

It’s worth noting that Likely took a big hit with 10 seconds left in the game. He landed awkwardly on his arm and was left on the ground for a long time. He sat out a play and was able to return to the game to make a touchdown catch that tied the game. The fact that he returned to the game is a good sign for him, but it’s worth keeping an eye on his health.

A familiar running back rotation for Baltimore: Right Hill ended up playing about the same amount as Derrick Henry.

Hill played 83.4% of Baltimore’s two-minute drill snaps, 67.9% of third-and-3 or more snaps last season, but just 34.2% in all other situations. Henry was the opposite of that with the Tennessee Titans Last season, he played 6.7% of two-minute drills, 2.8% of third-and-3+ and 73.1% of early-down snaps.

It should come as no surprise that Hill played in the obvious passing situations while Henry was the clear leader in rushing situations. This was a game where Baltimore trailed late in the first quarter and played behind the rest of the game. While it is fair to be concerned about Henry’s efficiency, this usage should not surprise anyone. The Ravens should win most of their games this season, which will leave them with different game scenarios and more opportunities for Henry to succeed.

Various comments

  • Travis Kelce played in over 80% of Kansas City’s offensive snaps, something he only does in big games. He did it five times in the regular season, including games against the Buffalo Bills, Philadelphia Eagles And Cincinnati Bengals. He also did it in all four playoff games. We can expect his snap rate in other regular season games to drop slightly below 80% this season.
  • Zay Flowers had four targets on plays that were all overturned due to penalties. His target share was already high before this was taken into account and appears to be a steal based on where he was drafted.
  • Rashod Bateman was a clear starting wide receiver for Baltimore, as expected. This was the first time he played more than 80% of Baltimore’s offensive snaps since the final four weeks of his rookie season.
  • Ravens fourth round rookie wide receiver Devontez-Walker was a healthy inactive player for the Ravens.
  • Chiefs wide receiver Hollywood Brown missed this game due to injury, while the recent addition of tight end Peyton Hendershot was a healthy inactive.
  • Chiefs running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire is on the non-football injury list. He missed this game and will miss the next four. A month ago, Edwards-Helaire opened about his battle with PTSD.

Table notes
  • Snaps include plays that are called back due to penalties, including offensive holding or defensive pass interference. The other three metrics have these plays removed.
  • Targets may differ from official NFL sources. The most likely discrepancy would come from an obvious discarded pass, where the NFL can give the target to the nearest receiver, while this data does not.
  • Carry’s are on designed plays only. Quarterback scrambles do not count towards the total number of carries in the game.