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    • Betting odds NFL Week 4 2024: Titans-Dolphins, Seahawks-Lions odds, picks, lines
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    Betting odds NFL Week 4 2024: Titans-Dolphins, Seahawks-Lions odds, picks, lines

    Vaseline Posted on

    September 30, 2024, 8:22 AM ET

    Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season concludes with another “Monday Night Football” doubleheader, the second in as many weeks. The Tennessee Titans, looking for their first win of the year, head to Hard Rock Stadium to take on the Miami Dolphins (7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN), who will start Tyler Huntley at quarterback. The line has shifted since Huntley’s announcement under center, as Miami enters the game as 2.5-point favorites with a total of 37.5.

    Meanwhile, in the second game of the evening, Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions welcome Geno Smith and the Seattle Seahawks to Ford Field (8:15 PM ET on ABC/ESPN+). Despite entering the game undefeated, the Seahawks are 4-point underdogs to the Lions, with a total of 46.5.

    Betting analysts Ben Solak and Anita Marks give their favorite bets for each matchup, and you’ll also find betting trends from ESPN Research.

    Odds current as of publication time. For the most current rules, visit ESPN BET

    Game lines

    Titans among dolphins

    Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)
    Money line: Dolphins (-150), Titans (+130)
    Top/Bottom: 37.5

    Distribution over the first half: Titans +0.5 (-110), Dolphins -0.5 (-110)

    The props

    Pass

    Will Levis total passing yards: O/U: 199.5 meters (+105/-135)
    Tyler Huntley total passing yards: O/U: 174.5 meters (+115, -145)
    Huntley total passing TDs: O/U: 0.5 TDs (-189/+140)

    Rush

    De’Von Achane total rushing yards: Order no. 69.5 (-105/-125)
    Tony Pollard total rushing yards: O/U 49.5 (-135/+105)
    Huntley total rushing yards: O/U 34.5 (+120/-155)
    Tyjae Spears total rushing yards: O/U 24.5 (+105/-135)
    Levi’s total rushing yards: O/U 14.5 (-120/-110)

    Received

    Tyreek Hill total receiving yards: O/U 49.5 (-115/-110)
    DeAndre Hopkins total receiving yards: O/U 44.5 (-120/-110)
    Calvin Ridley total receiving yards: O/U 44.5 (-130/even)
    Jaylen Waddle total receiving yards: O/U 39.5 (Even/-130)
    Tyler Boyd total receiving yards: O/U 24.5 (-115/-115)
    Achane total receiving yards: O/U 24.5 (Even/-130)
    Chig Okonkwo total receiving yards: O/U 29.5 (+110/-140)
    Spears total receiving yards: O/U 14.5 (-119/-120)
    Pollard total receiving yards: O/U 14.5 (-110/-120)

    Seahawks at lions

    Odds current as of publication time. For the most current rules, visit ESPN BET

    Spread: Lions (-4)
    Moneyline: Lions (-210), Sea Hawks (+175)
    Top/Bottom: 46.5

    Distribution over the first half: Lions -2.5 (+102), Seahawks +2.5 (-125)
    Total points Seahawks: O/U 20.5 points (-115/-115)
    Lions total points: O/U 25.5 points (-115/-115)

    Pass

    Jared Goff total passing yards: O/U 249.5 yards (-105/-125)
    Goff total passing TDs: O/U 1.5 TDs (-105/-125)
    Geno Smith’s total passing yards: O/U: 249.5 yards (-105/-125)
    Smith’s total passing TDs: O/U 1.5 TDs (+120/-155)

    Rush

    David Montgomery total rushing yards: O/U 59.5 (-140/+110)
    Jahmyr Gibbs total rushing yards: O/U 49.5 (-110/-120)
    Kenneth Walker III total rushing yards: O/U 49.5 (-145/+115)

    Received

    Amon-Ra St. Brown total receiving yards: O/U 79.5 (Even/-130)
    DK Metcalf total receiving yards: O/U 69.5 (-104/-125)
    Jaxon Smith-Njigba total receiving yards: O/U 49.5 (-110/-120)
    Tyler Lockett total receiving yards: O/U 44.5 (-115/-115)
    Sam LaPorta total receiving yards: O/U 39.5 (-110/-129)
    Jameson Williams total receiving yards: O/U 44.5 (Even/-130)
    Noah Fant total receiving yards: O/U 24.5 (-125/-105)
    Gibbs total receiving yards: O/U 24.5 (+110, -140)
    Walker total receiving yards: O/U 14.5 (+105/-135)

    Choices for the games

    De’Von Achane UNDER 59.5 rush yards

    The Dolphins offense is in flux and Tyler Huntley will start at quarterback this week. I expect Huntley to steal carries from Achane, along with Raheem Mostert (who is expected to be back on the field Monday night). The Titans should be able to start strong and the Dolphins may be playing from behind, meaning they pass at a premium. — To notice

    David Montgomery anytime TD (-170)

    The Seahawks have struggled to defend the run this season. Montgomery has usually shut down drives for the Lions, so once Detroit gets into the red zone, expect Montgomery to get the call. — To notice

    Jaxon Smith-Njigba OVER 49.5 receiving yards (-110)

    The numbers say DK Metcalf is the guy Geno Smith likes to go against man coverage, which the Lions run in the top five, but that sample size is quite small this season. Metcalf will spend most of his time on the outside against Carlton Davis III and Terrion Arnold, who represent a much-improved outside corner duo in Detroit.

    That said, defending the position is still an issue for the Lions, and that’s where Smith-Njigba gets his money’s worth. Expect a lot of dropbacks for Smith, which means Smith-Njigba should clear this number even if he gets fewer targets than Metcalf. –Solak

    Betting Trends

    Courtesy of ESPN Research

    Titans vs Dolphins

    • Both teams are 0-3 ATS this season. Unders are 3-0 in Dolphins games.

    • The Dolphins are 2-7 ATS in prime-time games under Mike McDaniel (lost four straight games ATS).

    • The Dolphins are 20-9-1 ATS as home favorites since 2017 and 16-8 ATS since 2020. Mike McDaniel is 10-6 ATS as a home favorite.

    • When the line turns back and the Titans are favored, the Dolphins are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs, while the Titans are outright 1-5 and ATS in their last six games as favorites.

    • Levis is 3-9 ATS in his career, 2-7 ATS as an underdog and 1-5 ATS on the road. Levis is 0-5 outright and ATS in his last five starts.

    • Prime-time unders are 6-5 this season and 76-47-1 since 2022. Unders in “Monday Night Football” games are 25-14-1 during that span. Road teams in prime-time games are 70-54 ATS during that period.

    Seahawks vs. Lions

    • The Lions have defeated seven straight primetime games (7-1 ATS under Dan Campbell).

    • The Lions are 37-17 ATS under Campbell, the best record of any team since 2021.

    • The Lions are 12-5 ATS as a favorite and 15-7 ATS as a favorite under Campbell since the start of last season.

    • The Lions are 6-1 ATS in last seven games (8-2 ATS in last 10 games, including playoffs).

    • The Seahawks have played three straight games as underdogs. This is their first game as underdogs this season.

    • The Lions are 10-3 ATS after extra rest under Campbell.

    • Lions unders are 3-0 this season.

    • The Seahawks have gone to four straight meetings (since 2018).

    • Prime-time unders are 6-5 this season and 76-47-1 since 2022. Unders in “Monday Night Football” games are 25-14-1 during that span. Road teams in prime-time games are 70-54 ATS during that period.

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