Sydney: They don’t flinch. The minor premiership belongs to the Swans.
Best case: 1st. Worst case: 1st.

Port Adelaide: A win in Freo today would mean a home final, and a loss could see them drop to fourth and their percentage below Geelong.
Best case: 2nd. Worst case: 4th.

GWS: A win in Ballarat would move them above the Cats, but we must still expect Port to lose and take second spot.
Best case: 2nd. Worst case: 4th.

Geelong: If Port and GWS lose and Port’s percentage drops, the Cats could secure second spot and a finals spot in Victoria in week one.
Best case: 2nd. Worst case: 4th.

Brisbane: Fifth, it’s for the Lions and a home elimination final. Nothing that happens today can change their position.
Best case: 5th. Worst case: 5th.

Hawthorn: Start Sunday in 6th place and as the in-form team in the AFL, but a win for the Bulldogs would see them finish in 7th place. Carlton look too far behind the Hawks in percentage to push them down to 8th.
Best case: 6th. Worst case: 8th.

Western Bulldogs: Their strong percentage will put them above the Hawks if they win the early game in Ballarat, but a loss would leave them nervously waiting to see if the Blues and Dockers win their games.
Best case: 6th. Worst case: 9th.

Carlton: It is unlikely they will win by enough to see Hawthorn jump to 6th, but theoretically it is possible. If they lose, their final chances rest on Fremantle’s home defeat.
Best case: 6th. Worst case: 9th.

Fremantle: Currently 10th, they’ll know their equation before they take on Port. If the Dogs and Blues win, their final goose is done, but if either of those teams slip up, they can channel the spirit of Dumb and Dumber’s Lloyd Christmas – “so you’re telling me there’s a chance”.
Best case: 7th Worst case: 10th