You can watch Thursday Night Football: Bills vs. Dolphins at 8:20 p.m. ET/5:20 p.m. PT on NBC or stream on Peacock, Fubo, DirecTV, and NFL+

“Thursday Night Football” started off this season on a hot note (and if you’ve watched TNF over the years, that’s a big deal), and the good times will continue to roll as the Buffalo Bills travel to Florida to take on the division rival Miami Dolphins. Both teams are 1-0 on the young season.

Let’s move on to the story of the (fantasy) tape.

Dolphins vs. Bill’s fantasy analysis

Josh Allen reminded everyone why he was the No. 1 QB overall during fantasy draft season in Week 1. The dual-threat QB scored four total touchdowns against the Cardinals, two on the ground and two through the air, culminating in a beautiful example of hero ball.

Of course, those two rushing TDs hampered the production of James Cook, who, despite 103 total yards of offense, was held out of the end zone — a typical flaw in his fantasy profile. While Cook does have the talent and ability to break off a long touchdown run or catch a score through the air, fantasy managers will be hoping this is the game that Cook finally gets some goal-line rushing attempts.

Back to the air, the Bills’ pass-catching puzzle remains that way as we head into tonight’s game. The biggest disappointment of Week 1 has to be Dalton Kincaid. Everyone is waiting for the second-year tight end to break out this season, and what a matchup to do it in Week 1 against the Cardinals, a defense that has been abysmal at defending tight ends the past few seasons.

Instead, Kincaid caught just one paltry catch; Dawson Knox also caught one. Still, I remain bullish on Kincaid; his Week 1 snap share was elite, so fantasy managers shouldn’t worry about him starting the 2024 season with one catch just yet. Still, you have to at least consider the ceiling of the Bills’ pass catchers. This is an extremely run-heavy offense that lives and dies on the heroics of Allen. Maybe we should just will not get a No. 1 target here. Fortunately, a Week 2 matchup against the high-flying (swimming?) Dolphins should provide more clues.

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And oh, did the Dolphins fly — and swim — in Week 1. Both Tyreek Hill (12-7-130-1) and Jaylen Waddle (5-5-109) eclipsed the 100-mark in a game that saw far more scoring than the 20-17 finish would lead you to believe. But perhaps the most interesting development came from sophomore running back De’Von Achane.

Achane led the Dolphins in rushing attempts with 10, reaching double figures on a day that saw Raheem Mostert (who has already been ruled out for this game) leave with a pectoral injury. Achane mustered just 24 yards on the ground, but he would go on to rank as the seventh-highest-scoring running back in half-PPR. How, you ask? Through the fantasy RB cheat code, of course.

Achane was third on the team in total receiving, catching all seven of his targets (second behind Hill) for 76 yards (third behind Waddle). Achane also received the Dolphins’ one goal-line carry, which he converted into a touchdown.

Catches and touchdowns, that’s what we expect from our running backs.

Of course, Mostert left this game and Waddle was also in and out of the game with injuries. Even Achane would suffer an ankle injury that would ultimately make him a decision at the time of tonight’s game. But how can you not be excited about this usage? It makes sense that the Dolphins would give the younger, fresher Achane more work this season to help him grow as an all-around player while also keeping a 32-year-old Mostert around for the entire season.

The questions we all want answered tonight are: How big of a role will Achane play now that Mostert is out injured? Will Jeff Wilson Jr. and/or Jaylen Wright (who will likely be activated) step into the 2023 Achane role? Or will Achane surprise us all with an unexpected workhorse outing?

But let’s not get too excited — fantasy managers should keep their fingers crossed that Achane is even eligible to play. He’s questionable at this point, but there’s optimism he’ll be able to play tonight. If he’s ruled out instead, Jeff Wilson Jr. will likely lead the way out of the backfield, but the rookie Wright still has potential in deeper leagues in what should be a fun game.

Advice for fantasy setups

This match has the second highest O/U total of the entire Week 2, so we’re expecting some fantasy spectacle (of course, TNF and divisional matches are known for being somewhat… unwelcome surprises before) with two of the best offenses in the NFL. So I don’t really need to tell you that you’re drafting Josh Allen, James Cook, Dalton Kincaid, Tua Tagovailoa, De’Von Achane, Tyreek Hill, and Jaylen Waddle.

But there is one player who is just not ready to start and who I think will not be able to play in competitions with more than 12 teams this week.

START: Keon Coleman, WR, Buffalo Bills

Remember when I said the Bills might not have a true No. 1 target this season? Well, maybe he’s just not ready yet.

Coleman finished his professional debut with four catches for 51 yards — not bad for a rookie receiver who was widely criticized as a one-trick pony after the draft, but also nothing to write home about. But not only did Coleman lead the Bills in targets (21.7% share among the Bills’ WR targets) on a day when they scored 34 points, he also led the Bills in routes in Week 1; if you told me he’d lead the team in Week 1, I wouldn’t have believed you.

That’s right, Coleman ran for Dalton Kincaid (the second-year TE who everyone thought would be the designated receiver on the targets vacated by Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis), Khalil Shakir (the only remaining WR on the team who had caught passes from Allen before this season) and Curtis Samuel (Samuel caught just two passes on two targets for 15 yards) in the passing game.

Sure, all of Coleman’s snaps and routes have come from the outside, which has limited his production somewhat at this point in his career, but a ceiling for big plays — which is his bread and butter as a 6-foot-1 X-receiver — remains, as we saw in Week 1 when he overpowered the defender for a 28-yard catch.

While I expect the Bills to get Kincaid more involved, this game should (ideally) be a back-and-forth affair considering both games were for these teams in Week 1. That gives Coleman more potential for another splashy play or two. And we just saw another 2024 rookie WR in Brian Thomas Jr. (4-4-47-1 Week 1 line) have success against this beatable Dolphins secondary (in fact, Thomas did much of his work against Jalen Ramsey).

If you’re looking for a better receiver in Week 2, consider the young Coleman. He’s undoubtedly turned heads in his favor with both his quarterback and the coaching staff since his debut.

But don’t break the main fantasy rule of starting a receiver in your flex spot on Thursday!