“While track guidance is generally consistent with this scenario, there remains some variability in both track and travel speeds, so it is too early to specify which parts of the Florida Peninsula will experience the worst impacts,” the report reads. the NHC predictor. discussion.

According to the forecaster, it is also uncertain how much Milton will strengthen, with models suggesting outcomes ranging from Category 1 to Category 5. The current NHC forecast predicts winds of 120 mph, or Category 3, when Milton makes landfall.

“However, this is below the intensity consensus, and it would not be surprising if the storm strengthens,” the NHC forecaster said.

Regardless of the specific details of potential Hurricane Milton, “there is increasing confidence that a powerful hurricane with life-threatening hazards will impact portions of the west coast of Florida around the middle of this week,” the NHC forecast said.