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Map: Tracking Hurricane Isaac – The New York Times
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Map: Tracking Hurricane Isaac – The New York Times

Isaac was a Category 1 hurricane in the North Atlantic Ocean as of Friday morning eastern time, the National Hurricane Center said in its latest advisory.

The hurricane had reached winds of 75 miles per hour.

All times on the map are Eastern. By the New York Times

What does the storm look like from above?

Satellite images can help determine the strength, size and consistency of a storm. The stronger a storm becomes, the more likely it is that an eye will form in the center. If the eye looks symmetrical, it often means that the storm is not encountering anything that could weaken it.

Satellite photo of the storm.

Where will it rain?

Flash flooding can occur far inland and far away from the center of the storm. Even weaker storms can cause excessive rainfall, which can flood low-lying areas.

Source: NOAA By the New York Times

Isaac is the ninth storm to form in the Atlantic Ocean in 2024.

In late May, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted there would be 17 to 25 named storms this year, an above-normal number.

This season follows an overly active year, with 20 named storms – including an early storm that was later officially named ‘Unnamed’. It was the eighth year in a row that the average of fourteen named storms was exceeded. Only one hurricane, Idalia, made landfall in the United States.

Normally, the El Niño pattern in effect last season would have suppressed hurricanes and reduced the number of storms in a season. But in 2023, warm ocean temperatures in the Atlantic weakened El Niño’s usual effect of thwarting storms.

The warm ocean temperatures that fueled last year’s season have become even warmer at the start of this season, giving forecasters more confidence that more storms would arrive this year. The increased sea surface temperature could also strengthen storms faster than normal.

To make matters worse, last year’s El Niño pattern is also subsiding, most likely creating a more suitable atmosphere for storms to form and intensify.

Hurricanes need a calm environment to form, and in the Atlantic Ocean, a strong El Niño increases the amount of wind shear – a change in wind speed and/or direction with height – reducing a storm’s ability to unite disturbed. Without El Niño this year, clouds are more likely to reach the high altitudes needed to sustain a powerful cyclone.

Sources and notes

Tracking card Tracking data comes from the National Hurricane Center. The map shows chances of at least 5 percent. The forecast is for up to five days, with that timeframe beginning up to three hours before the reported time the storm reaches its last location. Wind speed probability data are not available north of 60.25 degrees north latitude.

Table of wind arrivals Arrival times are generated from a New York Times analysis of National Hurricane Center data. Geographic locations use data from the US Census Bureau and Natural Earth. Time zones are based on Google. The table shows predicted arrival times of sustained, damaging winds of 93 km/h or more for selected cities with a likelihood of such winds reaching them. When damaging winds reach a location, there is no more than a 10 percent chance that they will arrive before the “earliest reasonable” time and a 50 percent chance that they will arrive before the “most likely” time.

Radar map Radar images come from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration through Iowa State University. These mosaics are generated by combining individual radar stations that are part of the NEXRAD network.

Storm surge map Storm surge data comes from the National Hurricane Center. Forecasts include only the Gulf and Atlantic coasts of the United States, Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. The actual areas that may be flooded may differ from those shown on this map. This map takes into account tides, but not waves and flooding caused by rainfall. The map also includes intertidal areas, which regularly flood during typical high tides.

Satellite map The images come from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the Japan Meteorological Agency through the Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere.

Precipitation card Data for multi-day forecasts or observed precipitation totals comes from the National Weather Service. The 1-day forecast comes from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.