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How far can Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever go in the 2024 WNBA playoffs?
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How far can Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever go in the 2024 WNBA playoffs?

The WNBA playoff schedule is set, and the Indiana Fever’s path is set. On Sunday, Cailtin Clark, Kelsey Mitchell, Aliyah Boston and Co. will take on the Connecticut Sun in Uncasville, Conn., in Game 1 of the postseason on ABC at 3 p.m. ET.

After a fantastic debut season in which Clark broke several records and helped the Fever reach the playoffs for the first time since 2016, the question on many people’s minds is: how far can Clark and Indiana go in the playoffs?

If the second half of the regular season is any indication, the second round seems like a real possibility. And once the Fever is here, it’ll be all about matchups in an anything-can-happen postseason tournament.

Consider that the Fever went 9-5 after the Olympic break, a streak that included a five-game winning streak with triumphs over other playoff-bound teams like the Atlanta Dream and Indiana’s next opponent, the Sun. The Fever look like a new team after that break in late July and early August and have improved their play. Indiana leads the WNBA in field goal percentage (45.6), effective field goal percentage (52.3) and is second in total points scored. Simply put, there isn’t a team in the league that can’t keep up with the Fever on offense.

It’s a unit led by Clark that continues to draw new viewers to the WNBA this season with its absolutely electric play. The 2024 regular season was the most-watched ever across ESPN platforms, averaging 1.2 million viewers per game; the All-Star game drew a record 3.4 million viewers; and a Sept. 11 matchup between the Fever and the Las Vegas Aces drew 678,000 viewers, making it the most-watched WNBA game ever on NBATV. Much of the data surrounding the WNBA’s increased attention and ratings points to Clark, which is why Indiana vs. Connecticut gets the ABC treatment on Sunday while everything else airs on ESPN. Apologies to the suits at Disney if you see them cheering on the Fever.

Clark has of course lived up to the hype with her play.

She will likely win the WNBA Rookie of the Year award and could be named to the All-WNBA First Team, both of which would be deserved honors. Clark averaged a league-leading 8.4 assists per game this season, along with 19.2 points and 5.7 rebounds. She also led the WNBA in 3-pointers made with 122, or 3.1 per game. To put that in perspective, consider that the great Sheryl Swoopes averaged more than 19.2 points per game only once in her 12 WNBA seasons and never averaged more than 4.3 assists per game.

That assist figure puts Clark in elite and exclusive company. Only Ticha Penicheiro and Courtney Vandersloot have ever averaged eight or more dimes in a single season. And no player in the history of the WNBA, which began in 1997, has ever averaged at least 19 points and eight assists per game in the same year.

But what makes the Fever a threat for a potentially deep playoff run is more than just Clark. In the second half of the season, her teammates have taken a big step forward. Remember, Kelsey Mitchell and Aliyah Boston were both all-stars alongside Clark. Mitchell is averaging 19.6 points per game this season and dropped 30 in a win over the Dallas Wings on Sunday. Boston is averaging 14.1 points and 9.1 rebounds per game and has shown that in addition to being a defensive mainstay for the Fever, she can also score in big numbers, like when she scored 30 points in a Sept. 8 win over the Dream.

One game that may be a harbinger of things to come for the Fever was their Aug. 28 win over the Sun, in which five Indiana players scored in double figures for a well-balanced attack that led to an 84-80 triumph. Lexie Hull was key in that game for Indiana, hitting four 3-pointers.

If the Fever were to get past the Sun in the first round, they could be hitting their head against the ceiling. Since the Olympic break, Indiana is 0-2 against the second-seeded Minnesota Lynx with two double-digit losses, and the Fever is 0-4 this year against the two-time reigning champions, the Aces. Before the break, Indiana was 1-3 against the top-seeded New York Liberty.

But if the WNBA postseason is anything like March Madness, we know there are no limits to what can happen now that Clark is calling the shots.