Cardinals vs. Commanders 2024 Prediction, odds, experts’ picks

The Arizona Cardinals (1-2) are favored by 3.5 points over the Washington Commanders (2-1) on September 29, 2024, starting at 4:05 PM ET, airing on FOX. The projected point total for the matchup is set at 49.

Stay up to date with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.

NFL Week 4 Best Bets: Cardinals vs. Commanders & Raiders’ 1st Half | Bear bets

Join betting expert Chris “The Bear” Fallica along with former NFL Offensive Lineman Geoff Schwartz for the best bets of NFL Week 4 presented by DraftKings Sportsbook. The boys reveal why they chose the moneyline of the Arizona Cardinals vs. Washington Commanders and the Las Vegas Raiders in the first half.

Cardinals vs Commanders betting information updated September 27, 2024 7:33 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite spread odds	Underdog spread odds	Total	More than total opportunity	Under Total Odds
Cardinals	-3.5	100	-120	49	-108	-112

Cardinals vs. Commanders Prediction and Choice

Choose ATS: Cardinals (-3.5)
Choose OE: More than (49)
Prediction: Cardinals 30 – Commanders 22

How to watch Arizona vs. Washington

Game date: Sunday September 29, 2024
Time: 4:05 PM ET
Location: State Farm Stadium
Location: Glendale, Ariz
TV: Watch on FOX
Live Box Score: FOX Sports

Pick by FOX Sports Betting Analyst Jason McIntyre:

A small theme in this week’s picks: supporting a team in a loss versus a team in a win. Arizona looked fantastic after losing to Buffalo, dropping 41 points to the Rams. Then the Lions, coming off a surprising home loss to the Bucs, shut down Arizona’s offense. We know Washington won’t be able to do that because its defense can’t slow down Baker Mayfield, Daniel Jones or Joe Burrow.

In a staggering statistic, the commanders only forced this two steps season.

The question is whether Arizona can get enough stops to gain margin and pull away for coverage. Sure, the Cardinals held the Lions scoreless in the second half last Sunday, but Jayden Daniels is more of a scrambling QB than Jared Goff, and we saw Arizona struggle to contain Allen in the opener (6 rushes, 44 yards).

Arizona’s best offense – which may be missing Trey McBride due to a concussion – is probably a heavy dose James Connerand I expect a big match Marvin Harrisonwho might be facing rookie Mike Sainristilwho gets off to a rough start and finishes as the 86th cornerback out of 97. He gave up 11 catches on 13 targets.

PICK: Cardinals (-3) winning by more than 3 points

Cardinals vs. Commanders Recent Matchups

In their last five head-to-head battles, Washington has defeated Arizona three times.
Over their last five head-to-head games, Washington has scored 107 points while Arizona has scored 98 points.

Arizona betting information

Arizona has covered the spread twice in 2024.
Arizona games have exceeded the total in two of three opportunities this year (66.7%).
The Cardinals are not yet the moneyline favorite this season.
The Cardinals have a 63.6% chance of winning this matchup, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Cardinals Stats

Stands	Average (total)	Rank
Pass yards	201.3 (604)	18
Urgent yards	144 (432)	9
Points scored	27.3 (82)	5
Pass yards against	200 (600)	15
Urgent meters against	123.3 (370)	20
Points allowed	21.3 (64)	19

Arizona’s key players

Offence

Kyler Murray has 635 passing yards, five touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and one interception this year. He has completed 68.6% of his attempts, averaging 211.7 yards per game and 7.4 per attempt.
He has racked up 161 rushing yards (53.7 per game) without a touchdown on the ground.
Marvin Harrison Jr.’s 198 receiving yards this season have come from 22 targets and 10 receptions. He averages 66 receiving yards and 3.3 catches per game, with three receiving touchdowns (first in the NFL).
James Conner’s performance on the ground this season includes 189 yards and two touchdowns. He is averaging 63 yards per game and 4.1 per attempt (28th in the NFL).
Conner has five receptions, 43 yards and zero touchdowns through the air.
Michael Wilson is averaging 3.7 receptions and 33.3 yards per game, and has 100 total receiving yards and 11 catches. He has totaled thirteen targets and caught one touchdown pass.

Defense

On the Cardinals defense, Dennis Gardeck has 10 tackles, five TFLs, three sacks and one interception in 2024.
Budda Baker has 25 tackles and three TFLs this season.
Mack Wilson has recorded 21 tackles, two TFL and one sack this year.
Kyzir White has 29 tackles and one TFL.

Washington Betting Information

Washington has registered a 2-1-0 win-loss record against the spread this year.
This season, the Commanders have one ATS win in two games as underdogs by 3.5 points or more.
Games involving Washington have prevailed twice this season.
The Commanders have split the two games they played as underdogs this season.
Bookmakers have suggested with the moneyline for this match that the Commanders have a 40.8% chance of winning.

Commander statistics

Stands	Average (total)	Rank
Pass yards	206.3 (619)	16
Urgent yards	153.7 (461)	5
Points scored	26.3 (79)	6
Pass yards against	255.7 (767)	31
Urgent meters against	121.7 (365)	18
Points allowed	29.3 (88)	30

Washington’s key players

Offence

Jayden Daniels has thrown for 664 yards this year, with two touchdowns and zero interceptions. He is completing 80.3% of his attempts while averaging 221.3 yards per game and 8.7 yards per attempt.
On the ground, Daniels has added three rushing touchdowns and 171 rushing yards (second for the Commanders).
Brian Robinson Jr. has 206 rushing yards (leads the Commanders) and two rushing touchdowns while averaging 68.7 yards per game and 4.6 per attempt (19th in the NFL).
Robinson has added five receptions (1.7 per game) for 56 yards (18.7 per game), without a receiving touchdown. He has been targeted eight times in the passing attack.
This season, through three games, Austin Ekeler has amassed 83 rushing yards (third on the Commanders) and scored one rushing touchdown. He is averaging 27.7 yards per game and 6.4 yards per carry.
Ekeler has helped with the passing attack, picking up 121 receiving yards (40.3 per game) on nine catches (three per game) while being targeted nine times. He’s looking for his first receiving touchdown.
Terry McLaurin has 139 receiving yards and one touchdown on 12 receptions after receiving on 18 targets.