Week 1 NFL action concludes Monday night with Aaron Rodgers and the New York Jets visiting the reigning NFC champion San Francisco 49ers. Rodgers, who suffered a torn Achilles tendon in just four snaps last season, won’t be playing far from his college stomping ground at Cal, but his Jets enter as 4.5-point underdogs.

New York finished 7-10 last season but, buoyed by the return of Rodgers, are the favorites to win the AFC East (+160). Meanwhile, the 49ers are fresh off a Super Bowl spot and are 6-1 to hold the Lombardi Trophy aloft this season, trailing only the Kansas City Chiefs (5-1).

Monday Night Football starts at 8:20 p.m. ET (on ESPN ABC ESPN+).

Odds are current at time of publication, courtesy of ESPN BET

Game lines

Distribution: 49ers -4.5
Moneyline: Jets (+175), 49ers (-210)
Over/Under: 43.5

Spread first half: 49ers -2.5 (-140), Jets +2.5 (+113)
Total points Jets: 19.5 (More than -120/Less than -110)
Total points 49ers: 24.5 (Above +105/Below -135)

The props

Passing

Brock Purdy’s total passing yards: 249.5 (Above +105/Below -140)
Purdy’s total passing touchdowns: 1.5 (More than TBD/Less than TBD)
Total passing yards by Aaron Rodgers: 249.5 (Above +115/Below -155)
Rodgers’ total touchdowns: 1.5 (Above +115/Below -145)

to hurry

Christian McCaffrey total rushing yards: 79.5 (Above +105/Below -140)
Breece Hall’s Total Rushing Yards: 69.5 (More than +105/Less than -140)

Received

Garrett Wilson Total Receiving Yards: 69.5 (More than -120/Less than -110)
Brandon Aiyuk total receiving yards: 59.5 (Above +105/Below -135)
Deebo Samuel Sr. Total Receiving Yards: 49.5 (More than -110/Less than -115)
George Kittle Total Receiving Yards: 44.5 (More than -100/Less than -130)
McCaffrey Total Receiving Yards: 39.5 (Above +105/Below -135)
Total receiving yards in Hall: 29.5 (Above +105/Below -132)

Favorite Choices

Fighter Jets +4.5: Over the last 24 years, the Super Bowl loser is 5-19 against the spread in Week 1 of the following season. Yes, I’m looking at you, San Francisco. What’s more, Kyle Shanahan is just 2-5 against the spread in Week 1 as head coach of the 49ers.

Is Christian McCaffrey 100%? How about Trent Williams and Brandon Aiyuk? Do we trust San Francisco’s offensive line? And how about the fact that Nick Sorensen is the team’s fourth different defensive coordinator in the past five years? These are all legitimate questions.

On the Jets side, I get 4.5 with a great defense, an above-average quarterback, an improved offensive line and legitimate weapons in Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson. Needless to say, I like the ‘dog here. — Joe Fortenbaugh

Betting trends

Thanks to ESPN Stats & Information

• Teams that lost the previous year’s Super Bowl have been 5-19 ATS and 10-14 outright in Week 1 since 2000 (3-7 ATS in the last 10 seasons).

• The 49ers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games (4-3 outright, all as favorites), including the playoffs. It is their longest ATS losing streak since 1982-83 (10).

• In nine of the last 10 seasons, the 49ers’ games have been below the total in Week 1.

• The Jets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 primetime games (2-3 ATS last season, losing the last three).

• The Jets were 2-9 ATS in their final 11 games of last season.

• In the three seasons under Robert Saleh, the Jets have gone 20-31 ATS, which is tied for the second-worst record in the NFL over that span.

• The primetime unders are 70-42-1 over the last two seasons (35-23 last season).

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