The Baltimore Orioles (87-70) and New York Yankees (92-65) meet on Wednesday as they continue a 3-game series in the Bronx. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Orioles vs. Yankees chances and make our expert MLB predictions for the best bets.

Season Series: Baltimore Leads 7-4

The Orioles hit a trio of home runs to win Tuesday’s series-clinching game, 5-3. The victory marked Baltimore’s fifth win in the last six games at Yankee Stadium.

Tuesday’s loss was only the Yankees’ third since Sept. 11. On Wednesday night, New York will try to avoid a second straight loss, something it hasn’t suffered since Sept. 3 and 4.

Orioles Projected Starters at Yankees

RHP Zach Eflin versus LHP Nestor Cortes

Eflin (10-9, 3.53 ERA) is making his 28th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 160 2/3 IP.

• Final Outing: No decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 5-3 win against San Francisco Giants on Thursday
• Career vs Yankees: 3-3, 2.11 ERA (47 IP, 11 ER), 39 H, 10 BB, 53 K in 8 starts

Cortes (9-10, 3.77 ERA) is making his 31st start and 32nd appearance. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 174 1/3 IP.

• Last Outing: No decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 2-1 win at Seattle Mariners last Tuesday
• Career vs. Orioles: 5-1, 2.20 ERA (57 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 43 H, 14 BB, 72 K in 11 appearances (9 starts)

Who’s going to the garden?? Here is a summary of today’s events best homerun props with our top picks. Including the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE receives a first bet of $1,500.

Orioles vs. Yankees Odds

Powered by BetMGM Sportsbook; visit USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a complete list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 8:43am ET.

• Moneyline: Orioles +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Yankees -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-175) | Yankees -1.5 (+145)
• Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Orioles at Yankees Picks and Predictions

Prediction

Orioles 4, Yankees 3

Moneyline

Cortes has a 1.58 ERA since August 13, which doesn’t hold up to scrutiny in the support stats. The Yankee left-hander is making this start on six days’ rest, a hiatus that has been problematic for him in the past. Through 2024, Cortes has allowed an .873 OPS when pitching on six-plus days’ rest. Over his career, he’s held opponents to a .700 OPS but a .734 mark on six days’ rest.

Eflin has been a solid finisher in his career (.690 OPS allowed in September-October regular season action). Look for the solid righty to give the Orioles enough of a win opportunity to create value with the underdog return.

BET ON THE ORIOLES (+130).

Run line/Against the spread

No interest here: PASSAGE.

Over/Under

The Under has won 11 of New York’s last 16 games. The Under is 5-0 in Baltimore’s last 5 road games.

Both starters have good numbers against the bats they will face, and both sides will be in a mode of grinding through the best arms in their bullpens.

With an inside wind in the weather forecast, BACK TO THE UNDER 7.5 (+100).

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