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Raiders vs. Broncos predictions, picks, odds and best bet for NFL Week 5
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Raiders vs. Broncos predictions, picks, odds and best bet for NFL Week 5

Bo Nix and the Denver Broncos aim for a third straight victory when they host the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

This will be the 128th meeting between the fierce, longtime AFC West rivals, and the Raiders have won eight straight and 10 of the last 11 games.

Denver hasn’t won three games in a row in the past two seasons. However, the Broncos come home with strong momentum after causing off-road upsets over the Buccaneers and Jets. Both teams have 2-2 records and the Raiders defeated Cleveland by four points at home last week.

Oddsmakers have the Broncos as 2.5-point favorites ahead of kickoff. The over/under for the game is 42 points.

Broncos vs. Raiders Predictions

  • Broncos -2.5 (-120 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook)
  • Under 35 (-105 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
  • Javonte Williams is an all-time TD scorer (+165 odds at BetMGM Sportsbook)

*odds accurate as of October 4, 2024

Nix will try to become the first Denver rookie quarterback to win and start three straight games. In his debut season of 1983, John Elway won his first two games and then lost his next six.

After losing their first two games of the season, Denver rebounded to win by 19 points at Tampa Bay and held on against the Jets in New Jersey for a 10–9 victory. The Broncos are 3-1 ATS this season and are 3-1 under.

Las Vegas is 2-2 under. The Raiders are 2-2 ATS. The under is an attractive bet because Denver’s defense has been very good and the Raiders look mediocre on offense.

Raiders WR Davante Adams is out with a hamstring injury and may not play for the team again. He reportedly requested a trade, with the Jets believed to be his top preference for a new team.

NFL Week 5 Raiders vs. Broncos Odds

Raiders vs. Broncos moneyline odds analysis

Why the Broncos could win as favorites

Best odds: -148 at DraftKings Sportsbook

The Broncos defense has been stifled so far this season, ranking third in the NFL in allowing 13.5 points per game. Denver leads the AFC with 16 sacks.

Las Vegas runs the worst rushing offense in the AFC. If the Raiders can’t run the ball, they will be forced into the air against Denver’s secondary, which is a recipe for failure. Sophomore CB Riley Moss is the 11th highest-rated cornerback on Pro Football Focus.

LB Nik Bonitto will look to record a sack in his third consecutive game. DE John Franklin-Myers is also targeting a sack in a third straight game, and he has a tackle for a loss in three of his last four games.

Nix has minimized turnovers in Denver’s two wins over the past two weeks. He threw two interceptions in each of his first two games, and none in the last two, while recording his first NFL TD pass to WR Courtland Sutton last week.

If Nix can lead Denver to a victory over the Raiders, he will endear himself even more to the fan base. The Las Vegas defense can also ensure the Broncos’ ground game performs respectably.

Why the Raiders were able to win as underdogs

Best odds: +130 at FanDuel Sportsbook

This can be a defensive battle. Division games can often be a tricky affair when big-name opponents without strong offenses go head-to-head. The Las Vegas defense showed last week that the unit can come up with a key stop when necessary.

DE Charles Snowden preserved a 20-16 win over Cleveland by sacking Deshaun Watson at the Raiders’ nine-yard line with 41 seconds left. Las Vegas limited the Browns to 241 yards.

LB Robert Spillane finished with twelve tackles, and he has totaled more than ten tackles in each of his last five games. On offense, Alexander Mattison could get a chance to be the lead RB this week in an effort to boost the ground game. He has a TD in three of four games this season.

With Adams out, WR Jakobi Meyers will continue to have success against the Broncos. He had three touchdowns in two games against Denver last season.