Conservative political activist Charlie Kirk said on his podcast Monday that former President Donald Trump is “not safe” in terms of his voting numbers in North Carolina.

Polls from FiveThirtyEight show that Republican presidential candidate Trump won 47.7 percent of the vote on Monday, a 0.1 point lead over the Democratic candidate, Vice President Kamala Harris, who has 47.5 percent of the vote.

“We need everyone in North Carolina to cheer up and wake up,” Kirk said on his Ask Me Anything, Episode 199. “It’s not a safe area right now. I’m not saying it’s a dangerous area, but it’s not safe.”

“This is a very important place, a very important state,” Trump said during a speech in Mint Hill, North Carolina, last week.

Data from AtlasIntel showed Harris ahead 50.5 percent to 48.1 percent in North Carolina in a poll taken between September 20 and 25.

Newsweek contacted the Trump campaign for comment but did not immediately hear back.

According to the numbers we compiled, Harris led last week in national polling averages The New York TimesFiveThirtyEight and real clear polls. Data from all three pollsters shows Trump leading in North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona.

New data from Decision Desk HQ suggests that these Republican Party efforts could be paying off. Democrats’ lead in mail-in voting has narrowed significantly in key states like Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Florida, where that advantage has declined by more than 35 percent, almost 15 percent and more than 5 percent, respectively.

“Trump could easily prevail if he gains ground in key states — or if the polls already underestimate him,” says Nate Cohn. The NYTthe top political analyst wrote. “A shift or election miss in his favor would not be unusual, although that is of course not guaranteed.”

The path to victory in the Electoral College system is through swing states, states where the electorate is more mixed in terms of which political party they have voted for in the past. This election cycle, the winner will have to carry some or all of the following seven states: Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.

According to pollster Nate Silver’s models run Sunday, Harris won all seven swing states 5,273 times out of 70,000 simulations. The second most likely scenario in the simulations was that Trump wins all seven swing states.

If Trump only wins Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia in November, the former president will have enough votes to be declared the overall winner, barring setbacks elsewhere.

Trump could also win by beating Harris in the four Sun Belt swing states of Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina and Nevada, and flipping just one of Wisconsin and Michigan, two states where Trump is narrowing Harris’ lead.

Asheville Mayor Esther Manheimer told CNN that there is “an incredible opportunity for Kamala Harris to win North Carolina” because the state’s voters will “carefully consider each candidate, zigzagging through the ballot.”

Yet North Carolina’s sixteen electoral votes have gone to a Democrat only once since 1980.

“I’m going to come to North Carolina a few times this fall because it’s not where it should be,” Kirk said. “North Carolina wasn’t one of the states we were focused on this summer. We were always focused on other places.”